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I think what all of this comes around to is the politics of populism. Which, unfortunately, plays. Clinton's "deplorables" comment was a mask-off moment, and in that it was certainly genuine (and fundamentally correct; the fact that a big chunk of this country thinks that jackbooted thugs snatching people off the streets and shooting them in the face is not just OK but advisable isn't a failure of Democratic messaging or whatever; it's a deep moral rot in a massive number of voters).

But what resonates viscerally tends to be populism. Trump lying about bringing down prices and being "greedy for you" or whatever is obvious BS, but it resonates with sporadic voters, which is who really delivered the White House to him in 2024. Democrats have populists of their own, but they largely don't resonate. More significantly, they SHOULDN'T resonate. Populists are often good at politics; they're uniformly terrible at governing. Whether Peron, Chavez, Bukele or, hell, Trump, you're pretty much guaranteed to get terrible outcomes.

Perhaps the best bet is someone that can campaign in the language of populism, but govern as a technocrat. That mostly worked for Obama, but Obama was a unique political talent. It may work for Mamdani, but a national version of Mamdani will need to look quite different from the version that won election in New York City.

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